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Expedient Means

Film, technology and the art of seeing clearly

My Oscar Picks – 2026

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Every year I publish my Oscar picks. I’m not always right. Neither is the Academy.

This year I had company. I invited Claude—Anthropic’s AI—to make its own predictions alongside mine. Claude processes more information in a second than I’ll encounter in a lifetime. It reads the critics, tracks the precursors, weighs the guild awards, and never once has to sit through a movie it doesn’t like. Who knew AI Agents had that perk?

We agreed 17 times out of 24. Make of that what you will.

I uploaded this post to Claude and asked him what he thought. Here was his reply. “Good luck Sunday night. It’ll be fun to see how the human and the data center stack up against the Academy.” An improvement over, “I’m sorry Dave, I can’t do that?”

BEST PICTURE We both chose One Battle after Another

DIRECTING — We both chose Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another 

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE — We both chose Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE — We both chose Jessie Buckley, Hamnet 

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE — I chose Delroy Lindo, Sinners, while Claude chose Sean Penn, One Battle After Another 

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE — I chose Amy Madigan, Weapons, while Claude chose Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners 

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM — We both chose KPop Demon Hunters 

ANIMATED SHORT FILM — I chose Retirement Plan, while Claude chose Butterfly 

CASTING — We both chose Francine Maisler, Sinners 

CINEMATOGRAPHY — We both chose Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another 

COSTUME DESIGN — We both chose Kate Hawley, Frankenstein 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM — I chose Mr. Nobody Against Putin, while Claude chose The Perfect Neighbor

DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM — We both chose All the Empty Rooms

FILM EDITING — I chose Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another, while Claude chose Michael P. Shawver, Sinners 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM — We both chose Sentimental Value (Norway)

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM — We both chose Two People Exchanging Saliva 

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING — We both chose Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey, Frankenstein 

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) — We both chose Ludwig Göransson, Sinners 

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) — We both chose “Golden,” KPop Demon Hunters

PRODUCTION DESIGN — I chose Tamara Deverell, Frankenstein, while Claude chose Hannah Beachler, Sinners 

SOUND — I chose F1, while Claude chose Sinners

VISUAL EFFECTS — We both chose Avatar: Fire and Ash

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) — We both chose Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) — We both chose Ryan Coogler, Sinners 

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